TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals49c33,188$16,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,925.941,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers36c21,424$7,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,741.072,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers51c14,381$7,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,334.3171650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers51c9,809$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.5860043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals80c6,458$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.688,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Detroit Tigers33c4,676$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.1524252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers58c4,374$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.624,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Detroit Tigers14c3,493$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4131957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals52c2,828$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.9495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers14c2,708$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8479442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Detroit Tigers51c2,168$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers51c2,048$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.482,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Detroit Tigers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02045445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kansas City Royals68c1,915$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.7613355.6%74 W · 59 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Detroit Tigers51c1,773$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.231,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers13c1,650$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals49c1,553$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.624,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers19c1,543$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.68,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Detroit Tigers11c1,542$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6516814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers43c1,471$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.534,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers51c1,319$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.871,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Detroit Tigers51c1,054$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.546043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals64c1,039$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.88,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals49c967.07$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.571,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals49c885.48$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.136,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Detroit Tigers53c800$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.571752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Detroit Tigers13c797.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Detroit Tigers51c711.76$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36328751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Detroit Tigers9c675.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2610625.5%27 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals49c664.44$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8655653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kansas City Royals70c642.35$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4458746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Detroit Tigers35c634.67$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1348660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98d8…20f6backed Kansas City Royals61c571.01$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.014161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Detroit Tigers15c481.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5615340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Detroit Tigers38c479$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1825447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers16c473.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafef…f50ebacked Detroit Tigers14c460.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Detroit Tigers22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Detroit Tigers51c414.87$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5827244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Detroit Tigers51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20456253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers17c383.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.444,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers37c349.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.495,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa448…3046backed Detroit Tigers52c324.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.663557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers21c322.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals67c317.42$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers18c297.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Kansas City Royals70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Detroit Tigers14c260.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6217647.2%83 W · 93 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Kansas City Royals62c226.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.910850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers53c220.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6779543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.543,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Detroit Tigers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5294555.2%522 W · 423 L+31.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Kansas City Royals47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Detroit Tigers51c196.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9811441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Detroit Tigers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Kansas City Royals49c174.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0958352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Detroit Tigers38c173.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.055850%29 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers23c167.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers49c165.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.991,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.561,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Detroit Tigers43c147.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.251,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Detroit Tigers43c145.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3847358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Detroit Tigers19c137.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9244058.9%259 W · 181 L+29.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf99…74babacked Detroit Tigers52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Kansas City Royals71c134.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5279955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Detroit Tigers50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678451.2%43 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Detroit Tigers23c130.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers12c128.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals63c128.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3760348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Kansas City Royals59c122.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7247852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Detroit Tigers51c115.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6738551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dd…df82backed Detroit Tigers22c114.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9512035%42 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals55c104.8$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.461,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ad…be98backed Detroit Tigers51c102.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Kansas City Royals49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0429449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Kansas City Royals49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0414452.8%76 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Detroit Tigers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Detroit Tigers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Detroit Tigers21c95.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.025637.5%21 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Detroit Tigers24c92.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2785148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Detroit Tigers51c90.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.266357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Kansas City Royals47c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.540351.4%207 W · 196 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Detroit Tigers14c78.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Kansas City Royals63c76.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17838.5%30 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Detroit Tigers43c73.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6340658.4%237 W · 169 L+2.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde4e…d6e9backed Detroit Tigers14c72.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108464.3%54 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Detroit Tigers51c72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7295252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e28…625cbacked Detroit Tigers56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021464%137 W · 77 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Kansas City Royals68c68.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6646949.9%234 W · 235 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Detroit Tigers26c66.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4140048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…bafebacked Kansas City Royals79c64.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.565457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals61c64.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1292046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Detroit Tigers39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515639.1%61 W · 95 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Kansas City Royals48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2812752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Detroit Tigers32c60.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Kansas City Royals50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021343.2%92 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Detroit Tigers43c58.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Kansas City Royals67c55.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1525355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Kansas City Royals48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.