TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd738…eeee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13248.5%64 W · 68 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.56
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Stan Dorsainvil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+161.1%+$155.55
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.78
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.94
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.84
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$113.37
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+348.7%+$411.5
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Edson Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$122.38
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.37
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.98
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Eric McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.76
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Neil Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+312.3%+$256.12
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$239.14
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.49
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed José Montanha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$146.81
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Richie Miranda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.75
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Gigi Canuto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.28
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$25.34
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$86.9
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$102
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.14
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.44
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$127.64
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$186.46
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$129.91
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$119.78
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$254.15
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$149.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.98
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$83.95
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.73
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$79.83
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$110.8
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$60.53
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$99.56
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$80.69
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.08
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.15
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.31
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.86
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.77
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.87
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$205.25
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$198.52
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.11
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.58
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$105.45
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$159.58
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$175.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.42
SF vs. LAC: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$86.46
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$78.04
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.2%+$37.1
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 186.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.66
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.38
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$136.86
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.83
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$97.18
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$31.83
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$78.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Ray J · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.