UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9348723e17858bc75a1471ef7adee328eef918f828e4167380bc308b5c8ad90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- José Montanhaof Louie Sutherland, José Montanha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Louie Sutherland | 67c | 18,891$12,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,656.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Louie Sutherland | 66c | 16,003$10,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,531.8 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…63cfbacked José Montanha | 36c | 13,572$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,721.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked José Montanha | 34c | 12,900$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed José Montanha | 33c | 12,146$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,163.78 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Louie Sutherland | 65c | 9,072$5,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,855.22 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed José Montanha | 34c | 7,500$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.94 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed José Montanha | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Louie Sutherland | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed José Montanha | 51c | 4,664$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.68 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed José Montanha | 41c | 3,642$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Louie Sutherland | 68c | 3,333$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.44 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Louie Sutherland | 65c | 3,275$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.56 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Louie Sutherland | 39c | 2,497$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.96 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Louie Sutherland | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Louie Sutherland | 61c | 1,902$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.87 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Louie Sutherland | 64c | 1,833$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.64 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed José Montanha | 30c | 1,806$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.13 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Louie Sutherland | 67c | 1,672$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.24 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Louie Sutherland | 50c | 1,657$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.83 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Louie Sutherland | 44c | 1,504$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.52 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed José Montanha | 42c | 1,352$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Louie Sutherland | 66c | 1,305$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.26 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed José Montanha | 76c | 1,165$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed José Montanha | 34c | 1,143$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.28 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Louie Sutherland | 65c | 1,050$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.75 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Louie Sutherland | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…2814backed José Montanha | 34c | 988.26$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Louie Sutherland | 49c | 897.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed José Montanha | 34c | 813.71$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.05 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed José Montanha | 66c | 800$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Louie Sutherland | 67c | 776.64$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Louie Sutherland | 38c | 774$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed José Montanha | 53c | 771.93$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked José Montanha | 48c | 718.1$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked José Montanha | 57c | 699.54$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…4e52backed José Montanha | 33c | 696.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed José Montanha | 34c | 667.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Louie Sutherland | 66c | 608$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed José Montanha | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed José Montanha | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked José Montanha | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Louie Sutherland | 44c | 581.8$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.09 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed José Montanha | 38c | 558.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.58 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked José Montanha | 34c | 531.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.68 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed José Montanha | 33c | 520$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Louie Sutherland | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…77e9backed Louie Sutherland | 65c | 456.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…8e2abacked José Montanha | 35c | 430$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Louie Sutherland | 64c | 382.22$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed José Montanha | 36c | 372.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Louie Sutherland | 62c | 357.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.71 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Louie Sutherland | 64c | 332$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed José Montanha | 34c | 299.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked José Montanha | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Louie Sutherland | 45c | 285.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Louie Sutherland | 42c | 260.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked José Montanha | 35c | 241.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Louie Sutherland | 43c | 230.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Louie Sutherland | 28c | 227$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked José Montanha | 33c | 226.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked José Montanha | 33c | 219.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Louie Sutherland | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Louie Sutherland | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Louie Sutherland | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked José Montanha | 46c | 183.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked José Montanha | 49c | 169.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed José Montanha | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Louie Sutherland | 66c | 144.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed José Montanha | 35c | 139.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed José Montanha | 41c | 130.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed José Montanha | 38c | 130.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Louie Sutherland | 68c | 129.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed José Montanha | 39c | 124.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed José Montanha | 36c | 122.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…01a0backed José Montanha | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed José Montanha | 34c | 119.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louie Sutherland | 37c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed José Montanha | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed José Montanha | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 239 | 61.5%147 W · 92 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Louie Sutherland | 59c | 101.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…8e54backed Louie Sutherland | 51c | 100.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed Louie Sutherland | 52c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Louie Sutherland | 55c | 92.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Louie Sutherland | 51c | 84.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Louie Sutherland | 67c | 75.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Louie Sutherland | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed José Montanha | 35c | 68.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed José Montanha | 33c | 68.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e69…d7fcbacked Louie Sutherland | 65c | 66.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked José Montanha | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Louie Sutherland | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked José Montanha | 39c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed José Montanha | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Louie Sutherland | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed José Montanha | 38c | 54.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Louie Sutherland | 51c | 52.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked José Montanha | 33c | 51.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed José Montanha | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Louie Sutherland | 64c | 46.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.