TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x04c7…c7a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT18551.4%95 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 185 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Matthew Forbesbacked Matthew Forbes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
US Open, Qualification ATP: Braden Shick vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Winston-Salem Open (Doubles): Krajicek/Mektic vs Cabral/Tracybacked Krajicek/Mektic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Set Handicap: Droguet (-1.5) vs Rincon (+1.5)backed Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.6
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$169.6
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Schnaitter/Wallnerbacked Doumbia/Reboul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.15
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$108.5
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$115.99
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.91
Cincinnati Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Terence Atmanebacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
National Bank Open (Doubles): Siniakova/Zhang vs Errani/Melicharbacked Siniakova/Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$42.71
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.96
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$71.79
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$232
National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.08
Showing 25 of 185 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$1,348.5
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.38
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.8
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.35
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$253
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$227.5
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
All 22 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+150.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.