WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec74e023766b4712273cb68c8ef55f0917f74d8bed4a6a42e28586441f6b4b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Atlanta Dream, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Liberty | 46c | 7,248$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.82 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 6,776$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.01 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 6,402$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 6,020$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 4,842$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,564$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.83 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 51c | 2,116$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.45 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed New York Liberty | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,070$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.92 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 969.44$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.11 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 46c | 900.59$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 860.43$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.03 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked New York Liberty | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 48c | 799.3$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.26 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed New York Liberty | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 32c | 688.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed New York Liberty | 47c | 498$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed New York Liberty | 47c | 469$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 429.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.93 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 401.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…2573backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 389.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 385.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed New York Liberty | 47c | 293.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 293.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 272.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed New York Liberty | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Liberty | 69c | 216$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed New York Liberty | 69c | 216$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Liberty | 67c | 207.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 191.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 47c | 150.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed New York Liberty | 47c | 124.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Liberty | 67c | 114.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Atlanta Dream | 38c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atlanta Dream | 16c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed New York Liberty | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Liberty | 70c | 76.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 48c | 65.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 62.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked New York Liberty | 49c | 61.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked New York Liberty | 47c | 55.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 42.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed New York Liberty | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed New York Liberty | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Atlanta Dream | 41c | 36.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed New York Liberty | 47c | 36.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed New York Liberty | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Atlanta Dream | 65c | 34.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 47c | 34.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Atlanta Dream | 65c | 28.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…e8fcbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed New York Liberty | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked New York Liberty | 70c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.