WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf9d83b1972f9de5f14b426f890c477d132559cab5da1316909d6eaba012b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Atlanta Dream, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 1,273$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.2 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 857.28$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.92 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…bda7backed Atlanta Dream | 26c | 511.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 466.21$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 63c | 420.48$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 165$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 164.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 42c | 104.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 73c | 83.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 52c | 77.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.