WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x583c8397c72e22e16bc1c5496b3b264ca121f49ff145c6ee0049f9f1545a450a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Atlanta Dream, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.9 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 4,029$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.79 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 3,253$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.41 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 2,897$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 2,349$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.15 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 45c | 2,005$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.79 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,278$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.81 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0123backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 705$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Liberty | 60c | 513$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 414.16$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 245.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed New York Liberty | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 50c | 93.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 79.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 72.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…9a13backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 59.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Atlanta Dream | 40c | 49.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 47.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 45c | 43.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 39c | 43.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Liberty | 45c | 42.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed New York Liberty | 45c | 35.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Atlanta Dream | 40c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Atlanta Dream | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.