WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5576defcdfd62b164ce68fe522ec40155164e7b61189c3a37b569f353a31ed1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 56c | 11,630$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 44c | 7,563$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 3,009$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 787.45$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 467.87$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 402.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 333.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 224.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 53c | 200.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 188.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 45c | 164.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 160.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 113.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 54c | 42.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 48c | 40.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 39.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.