WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d0186558a51cd84cbbe3c209ca5c41b9ea4c4b6ed775d38249ccc5c462ab076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 53c | 23,712$12,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,144.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 47c | 9,377$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 48c | 6,523$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.84 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 3,856$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 47c | 3,340$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 2,282$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.14 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 1,753$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.49 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 47c | 1,597$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.55 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 47c | 1,491$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 1,399$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.9 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.74 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,157$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 1,131$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 840$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 770.92$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.06 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 573.15$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 352$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 279$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 269.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 52c | 230.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 52c | 162.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Under | 49c | 161.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 106.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0123backed Over | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 84.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 52c | 57.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 51.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 37.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 47c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 163.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.