TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof Atlanta Dream, New York Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,305 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream47c35,737$16,961 inLost-$16,961.3199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty53c14,980$7,876 inWon+$7,103.6678548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty53c10,170$5,400 inWon+$4,769.651,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty55c4,229$2,335 inWon+$1,893.151,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty53c2,809$1,489 inWon+$1,320.5331043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty53c789$416 inWon+$372.8824852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked New York Liberty54c720.22$391 inWon+$329.297431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty49c700$343 inWon+$35785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty53c481.08$255 inWon+$225.7774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty52c407.68$212 inWon+$196.0437650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty51c384$196 inWon+$188.1638744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Liberty53c316.03$166 inWon+$150.13053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty54c248.8$133 inWon+$115.5541147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Liberty56c211.17$118 inWon+$93.2118746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Liberty49c150$74 inWon+$76.515346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Liberty63c135$85 inWon+$49.9526147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Atlanta Dream47c121.58$57 inLost-$56.694854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked New York Liberty54c109$59 inWon+$50.145457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Atlanta Dream47c100.4$47 inLost-$46.972766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Atlanta Dream10c100$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream15c98.71$14 inLost-$14.3534726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Dream47c81.78$38 inLost-$38.11952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed New York Liberty50c80$40 inWon+$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Atlanta Dream46c67.46$31 inLost-$30.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Atlanta Dream48c66.79$32 inLost-$3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked Atlanta Dream47c54.5$25 inLost-$25.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Atlanta Dream46c54.5$25 inLost-$25.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Dream60c50$30 inLost-$3012343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream56c38$21 inLost-$21.2820947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…5911backed Atlanta Dream49c34.83$17 inLost-$17.232119%4 W · 17 L-6.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Atlanta Dream46c31.03$14 inLost-$14.261952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream48c27$13 inLost-$12.9689349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Atlanta Dream46c27$12 inLost-$12.427443.2%32 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Atlanta Dream50c24.69$12 inLost-$12.366530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Atlanta Dream47c23.66$11 inLost-$11.022650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Atlanta Dream46c22.34$10 inLost-$10.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9af…f4f7backed New York Liberty50c20$10 inWon+$101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.