TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5a6…08bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT8438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$10.84
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$117.4
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.91
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Ecuador leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+184.4%+$22.13
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$10.71
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+328.5%+$82.64
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+258.1%+$67.95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+241.8%+$32.28
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123%+$50.43
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT5633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Taipei: Chia Yi Tsao vs Gyeong Seo Leebacked Chia Yi Tsao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$11.25
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+290.2%+$30.14
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$12.7
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yanevabacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Asuncion 2: Samuel Heredia vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Samuel Heredia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
ITF Tauste: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Iveta Dapkutebacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108%+$18.57
Asuncion 2: Hernando Escurra vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernando Escurra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Royan: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Felix Balshawbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
ITF Blois: Julia Riera vs Mathilde Lolliabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+142%+$17.86
Brescia: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Brescia: Fiona Ferro vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Halle Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
ITF Blois: Jana Otzipka vs Clara Burelbacked Jana Otzipka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.66
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Keninbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$2.67
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Waznybacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$33.56
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djerebacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.84
Royan: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$13.98
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$8.64
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$24.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+254.6%+$90.51
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.04
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.86
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$38.77
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+164%+$26.24
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$114.32
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeriabacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+97%+$10.35
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$41.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.