MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc34a9017da81ac331c21b3485bb04e5b6d5bbf560f10f9b7bb5f2baa6228ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 15,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000.35 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 13,298$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,244.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 9,577$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 8,686$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 5,219$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 4,238$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.83 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.96 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,150$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,853$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,856$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.51 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,070$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,065$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 937.03$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 857.57$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 836.46$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.97 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 668.38$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 568.41$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 487.33$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 409$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 403.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 383.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 375.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 365.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 362.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 328.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 269$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 256.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 254.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 221$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 187.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 182.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 170.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 142.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 136.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 128.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 123.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 108.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 90.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 86.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 82.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 79.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 73.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 59.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 33c | 51.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 50.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 47.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 47.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 46.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…d227backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 40.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 39.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…6f17backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 34.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Texas Rangers | 73c | 34.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 31.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 30.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 28.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 22.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Texas Rangers | 78c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.