MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674fada59945c779a6d60667d8e18ec6e9374dd6e8726e53f5bef802a901e4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 8,037$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.25 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 6,646$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 6,455$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 6,399$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.38 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 43c | 5,520$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 5,126$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 4,223$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.38 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439c…8a28backed Over | 48c | 3,085$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,750$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 54c | 2,136$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 1,591$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 24c | 1,124$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 972.92$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 944$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 59c | 855.83$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 60c | 800.89$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 53c | 793.63$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.21 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 55c | 713.08$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.66 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 63c | 602.29$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 58c | 527.68$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 436.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 414.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 398.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 366.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 364.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 44c | 355.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 55c | 334$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 318.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 273$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 263.13$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 253.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 200.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 55c | 200.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 53c | 196.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 51c | 187.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 57c | 185.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 164.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 147.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Over | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 117.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 91.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 85.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 42c | 79.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 74.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 58c | 74.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…a991backed Under | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 57c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 49c | 71.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 57c | 71.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 47c | 70.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 36c | 66.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 65.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 52c | 65.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 52c | 63.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 52c | 63.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 26c | 59.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 59c | 53.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 61c | 53.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 25c | 51.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 60c | 50.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 60c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 53c | 37.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 48c | 33.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 55c | 30.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…829abacked Under | 42c | 30.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Over | 54c | 29.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Over | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Under | 37c | 28.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…7d30backed Over | 53c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 80c | 12.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.