TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf180…3b6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT9427.7%26 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.09
Sweden leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+172.5%+$20.37
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+4,014%+$493.48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Bianca Andreescubacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.57
ITF Rome: Jaeda Daniel vs Jo-Yee Chanbacked Jaeda Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tatiana Prozorova vs Heather Watsonbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$11.6
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tereza Valentova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Zizou Bergsbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
ITF Gdansk: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lia Karatanchevabacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$5.03
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Oceane Dodinbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Gustavo Heidebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$5.54
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Travaglia vs Yi Zhoubacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Mallorca Championships: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.78
Targu Mures: Cezar Cretu vs Akira Santillanbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$4.86
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhoubacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+460.4%+$82.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+82%+$10.13
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$7.68
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.92
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$12.52
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$17.41
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$29.27
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$4.72
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$12.6
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+385.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+385.7%+$192.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$8.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.