TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,041,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,003,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,041,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,083 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd650…14fbbacked Yes27c1,115,282$300,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300,772.46955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes26c582,976$154,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,293.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c381,094$280,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,708.732,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No74c298,483$222,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,169.6929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No73c240,831$176,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,682.339948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No74c200,000$148,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,00020844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No73c119,739$87,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,329.4316546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No74c101,406$75,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,987.2124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No73c100,000$73,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0006546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Yes27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,999.998063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Yes27c82,991$22,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,407.592729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No73c80,000$58,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6007839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No73c78,652$57,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,236.044161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No74c68,824$50,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,894.189345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No73c62,900$45,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,9838440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c54,672$39,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,761.3442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No75c49,899$37,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,661.351,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes24c45,903$11,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,230.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No73c45,808$33,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,365.182,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No73c45,600$33,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3127447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No73c44,524$32,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,021.566048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No74c40,000$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4008943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c39,493$30,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,911.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No73c38,493$28,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,393.158952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x582b…d4e2backed No73c33,110$24,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,939.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed No74c31,671$23,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,234.462755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes28c30,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4009323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c27,014$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,547.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c25,395$18,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,846.7476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No74c25,000$18,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,519.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes23c23,991$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,588.5664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No74c23,896$17,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,270.7547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No74c23,014$16,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,073.4948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c22,704$16,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,130.1456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes26c22,222$5,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,777.7217452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes27c22,076$5,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,960.66524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No73c20,421$14,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,438.972,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes23c19,107$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.6251228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f8…daa1backed No73c19,000$13,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1302556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes26c17,400$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.976749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No74c16,423$12,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.3647643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No74c16,191$11,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,261.4744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes22c15,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes20c14,529$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.834619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes16c13,948$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c13,737$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.511468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes33c13,500$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4557642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c13,319$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.041,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No74c13,200$9,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,46047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f1…87b3backed Yes20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed No73c11,945$8,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.152948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c11,620$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.271,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes27c11,111$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9722451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1518…2652backed Yes28c11,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c10,797$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes29c10,263$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No74c10,194$7,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.4419345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8005219.2%10 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbde8…8fd4backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes32c10,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30015642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No74c10,000$7,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.6630751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes22c9,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No78c8,692$6,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.2470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No80c8,692$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.282,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No75c8,117$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.1933549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db5…cc23backed Yes19c8,041$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c8,000$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c5…23bcbacked Yes24c7,963$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+176.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c7,836$5,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes26c7,692$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e87…da91backed Yes21c7,417$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.562347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3244…b124backed Yes28c7,036$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9701020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No80c6,823$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed No73c6,712$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes30c6,702$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.546134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes26c6,604$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7171631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes17c6,555$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.4936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes18c6,481$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No69c6,449$4,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.1714132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No75c6,300$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5755851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No74c6,300$4,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.994075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No76c6,123$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.212,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Yes34c5,882$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed No74c5,877$4,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.766630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes24c5,696$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.147229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes22c5,555$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.110012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes19c5,494$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.0965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed No73c5,122$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No70c5,000$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.6814542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes1c5,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Yes19c5,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No69c4,957$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.5115746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf045…c619backed Yes0c4,926$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bf…2121backed No73c4,813$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.511040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.