TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x413f…47f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$775.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,110.97
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$4,240
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.98
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$2,334.21
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,942Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$6,027.22
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$495
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,669.9
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.69
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$465
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.13
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$450.05
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.53
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$592.41
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$2,159.89
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,769.99
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,899.91
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,199.98
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,099.97
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,890
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,124.13
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,044.86
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,479.99
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,580
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$931.55
LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$2,211.22
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,095Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,866.21
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522.94
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,824Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,970.13
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,968Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$6,519.43
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,042.41
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$4,749.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,418.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,810.94
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+211.8%+$3,279.44
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$1,198.66
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$3,228.61
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$899.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$660
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,999.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$2,340
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.19
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,319.96
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,453.06
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$2,012.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,449.98
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,699.99
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,100
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,660.88
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,099.94
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,300
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$6,999.98
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$13,199.93
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,599.96
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$5,800
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$2,059.99
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$675
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$960
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.99
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,149.99
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$107.41
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,079.19
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.98
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$1,539.98
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,875Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$1,539.67
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$3,725
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$3,349.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,743.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.1%+$1,460
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,449.99
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,598.71
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.99
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.38
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$300.31
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,163.47
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$381.86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,890.81
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,834.42
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,107.62
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$523.12
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+316.7%+$10,493.68
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+254.2%+$5,171.07
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,393Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+146.6%+$3,507
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,179.98
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$2,700
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,360
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,480
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,391.31
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkovabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$744.52
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$540
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+316.7%+$760
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,900
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$261
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$175
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,281.17
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,036.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,400
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$699.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$780
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$8,719.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,100
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,859.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$4,528.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$3,800
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,900
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$204.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$104.94
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$62.07
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$163
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+341.8%+$851
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$503.99
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$252
Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$290
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$280
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.22
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,099.99
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,484.02
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,479.98
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.99
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$222
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,884.98
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+35.7%+$665.03
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$470.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+400%+$800
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23,999.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38%+$2,478.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$2,430
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2,200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13,399.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,750
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+157.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,386.97
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,200
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$9,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,633.13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$1,615.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,710
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$8,399.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$62.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,230.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,399.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.