TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$623,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$664,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f0…cd31backed Yes75c387,657$290,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,914.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No25c160,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00023546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No25c82,930$20,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,732.4311949.6%59 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No25c50,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5005848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No25c30,080$7,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,445.9466047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c20,898$7,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,055.082,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c10,747$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.887,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes64c9,401$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No7c8,888$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.161822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick41cpaid+239.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c8,176$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.8664842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c8,122$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.662,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c7,339$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.595,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No25c6,967$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.552733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No6c6,335$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No24c5,679$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.232,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No25c5,643$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.831323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes66c5,000$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes55c4,300$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c4,178$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.282,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No25c4,083$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.45324.5%13 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No25c3,773$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.339227.2%25 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No25c3,738$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.151,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.331060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes67c3,114$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.511030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.985731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No36c2,780$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes70c2,765$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.8118940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No25c2,726$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No25c2,716$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes74c2,586$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.377142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed No34c2,312$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No25c2,133$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes74c2,030$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90026949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No28c1,989$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes55c1,982$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.821844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No30c1,883$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5661464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes54c1,600$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.979061.1%55 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes75c1,591$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.4714641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes74c1,545$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.014768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes53c1,533$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.617160.6%43 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes54c1,510$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.694379.1%34 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3758845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402030%6 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes74c1,435$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes53c1,412$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No25c1,396$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No25c1,375$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+84.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes66c1,321$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Yes46c1,276$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.653363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7037…7ba4backed No50c1,171$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No25c1,072$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No31c989.17$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3398552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes51c979.54$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.934641.3%19 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes59c951.42$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.6837149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes53c936.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.542540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Yes76c923.58$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.58366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No25c771.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9670%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes61c768.49$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No25c759.88$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4754650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes70c718.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.791384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes57c707.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.356563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes75c704$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1766662.1%41 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18967050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No25c698.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes77c693.51$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.513076.7%23 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes75c690.67$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes45c668.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.692744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes75c664.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.999450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes50c658$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3293033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes59c571.8$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4411746.2%54 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Yes65c569.38$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a1…2530backed Yes67c551.52$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes51c550$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No31c520.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2514262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1852552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No34c500$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes60c489.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ae…19fdbacked Yes61c457.89$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No26c447.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7911527%31 W · 84 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No35c421$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7398653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes74c420.27$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2736647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1af…701ebacked Yes60c400$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes64c390.73$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1925859.7%154 W · 104 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No35c364.12$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.