Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d2de87ae40584fd21aa80720ba2167b57dd16febf206c316ad3401ee66e593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,476$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 1,471$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 1,468$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.84 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 1,084$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 737.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 25c | 699$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 559.11$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.11 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 19c | 469.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 445.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 441.8$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 8c | 418.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 43c | 392.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 66c | 268$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 26c | 257.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Yes | 41c | 241.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 50c | 194.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 191.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 163$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…0e07backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…fd0bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 43c | 104.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 15c | 97.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…0ddabacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 16c | 67.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 69c | 64.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 27c | 60.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…5fc9backed Yes | 41c | 60.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 31c | 55.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 25c | 53.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 38c | 45.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…4531backed Yes | 43c | 42.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 42.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 53c | 37.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 61c | 37.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a4…f12dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked No | 62c | 28.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 54c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 74c | 21.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed No | 80c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 76c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.