TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x630e…bbd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.5%+$12.7
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+87.5%+$28
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+90.5%+$18.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Córdoba CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$26.27
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.4%+$55.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+70.5%+$70.36
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.54
Women's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Women's Group A - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+68.8%+$29.34
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Finlandbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59.9%+$17.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+308.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+533.3%+$147.78
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+83.5%+$19.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team buster vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+120%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$72.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.