NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39172ce24fee7515817c78e2f7e9a12b620974411e3d5840376b3565c669c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lada Togliattiof Lada Togliatti, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lada Togliatti | 34c | 499.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Torpedo | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Torpedo | 65c | 126.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Torpedo | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lada Togliatti | 34c | 94.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lada Togliatti | 39c | 61.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…8370backed Lada Togliatti | 35c | 56.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…ff00backed Lada Togliatti | 35c | 56.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…af4dbacked Lada Togliatti | 35c | 51.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Torpedo | 79c | 41.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Torpedo | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7f40backed Torpedo | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Torpedo | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Torpedo | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…d075backed Torpedo | 66c | 20.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…f291backed Torpedo | 66c | 20.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…2da1backed Torpedo | 66c | 19.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…985dbacked Torpedo | 66c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…5d49backed Torpedo | 66c | 18.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…5ba3backed Torpedo | 66c | 18.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…ab1cbacked Torpedo | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cd…6234backed Torpedo | 66c | 17.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…8977backed Torpedo | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Torpedo | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…9c84backed Torpedo | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Torpedo | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.