TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20a8…d960

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
393
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT36662%227 W · 139 L+39.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 366 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
World Championships: Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$65.29
World Championships: Denmark vs. Sloveniabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$10.71
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Chicago Wolvesbacked Chicago Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$11.61
World Championships: Canada vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Colorado Eaglesbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
World Championships: Czechia vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$19.23
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$4.47
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$7.33
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Providence Bruinsbacked Springfield Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Manitoba Moosebacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
SHL: Skellefteå vs. Röglebacked Skellefteå · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$13.01
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Syracuse Crunchbacked Syracuse Crunch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Providence Bruinsbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.73
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$27.34
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$39.37
SHL: Rögle vs. Skellefteåbacked Rögle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.67
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$74.62
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$34.34
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Henderson Silver Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$9.51
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Colorado Eaglesbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$15.2
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Springfield Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+101%+$14.04
Showing 25 of 366 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Olympics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.3%+$12.88
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.68
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.3%+$17.93
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+438.1%+$148.99
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+73.6%+$58.92
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmarkbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.5%+$24.09
Women's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.58
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.8%+$32.99
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+458.9%+$51.81
Men's Group A - France vs. Czechiabacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+156%+$19.91
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+274.4%+$66.47
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Women's Group B - Italy vs. Germanybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.28
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.9%+$64.9
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Finlandbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.5%+$14.54
Women's Group B - Germany vs. Japanbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+60.4%+$28.91
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.