NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15f18894310892775a2d35069d4108b5b35828eadde858997849f07c301cc7c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Ak Bars Kazan, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 1,015$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 17c | 721.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 48c | 564.44$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…a443backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 48c | 563.34$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…7352backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 519.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 426.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0c…9029backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 268.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 221$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 219.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 50c | 215.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 206.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 42c | 199.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 77c | 192.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 189.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 166.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…9fe1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 18c | 153.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…dd01backed Ak Bars Kazan | 26c | 152.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 19c | 122.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 108.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 101.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 86.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Ak Bars Kazan | 16c | 85.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 35c | 77.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 64.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 43c | 61.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 60.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 50.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 40.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 33c | 38.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…107fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 44c | 31.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 28.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…3253backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…248abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.