TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed26…6282

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+306.6%+$34.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$50.35
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$97.74
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+915.4%+$469.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.5%+$110.97
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$374.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$225.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$47.37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+53.3%+$183.04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+32.2%+$96.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+45.4%+$71.11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.84
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$72.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$149.75
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$773.3
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.91
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$36.92
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101.3
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$61.67
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$56.54
Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$47.16
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$81.42
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$41.75
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$64.32
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.31
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$118.99
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.76
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$117.18
Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.42
Sheffield United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$56.73
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.25
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$169.09
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$60.94
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$65.64
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.13
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$136.5
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$100.93
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.95
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.43
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.67
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.66
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.73
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$86.24
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.76
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$102.88
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69.99
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$63.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.1%+$115.09
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.12
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$49.08
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.69
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.88
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$142.9
Will FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.49
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$181.58
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.98
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.43
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$56.38
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$136.53
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.77
Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$97.9
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+30.9%+$89.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$28.07
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.06
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.25
CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+245%+$199.93
CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$58.3
CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$63.99
Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.65
Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.24
CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.14
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.59
Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$112.95
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.09
CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$97.5
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$86.87
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Will FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$166.89
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.77
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.14
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.25
Will FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$41.91
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.14
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.14
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$90.19
Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+70.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$41.43
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.27
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.69
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25.2%+$12.76
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.25
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.91
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+885.2%+$122.05
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+346.8%+$78.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.35
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.92
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.34
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$241.68
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$89.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick74cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$18.76
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$107.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 2.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.8%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.