TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed Under45c19,583$8,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,678.262347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under38c14,941$5,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,263.511030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over70c6,463$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,512.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c6,220$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.982,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c5,875$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.796,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over46c4,832$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.625954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over60c4,493$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c4,220$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.64,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under37c2,596$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.764367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Under37c2,065$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.983948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under35c2,055$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.438345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.993545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,986$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.492,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8365527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over64c1,529$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under38c1,526$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.748445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over65c1,506$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c1,415$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,382$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.291,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c1,304$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.8575542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c1,178$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.5974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under56c1,103$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.98850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Under36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+155.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over65c999.98$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.995056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Over60c976$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over50c839.05$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c816.33$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7820054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over50c807.79$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.292825%7 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under36c800.22$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.142653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over74c667.7$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.6313748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c662.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.642,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under35c629.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.061,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Over47c599.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over57c599.9$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over71c493.81$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.312561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over21c480.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.824540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over66c467.54$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.572437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c389.76$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.991,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over63c382.1$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over64c368.78$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0216757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c363.11$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.638953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under31c357.4$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under7c344.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Over66c290.91$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under77c278.81$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.323056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c273.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5180853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under14c270.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0420425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6b…340bbacked Under35c267.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.65580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+91.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under34c262.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.882030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under35c248.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3411652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c244.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7269651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c244.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under40c242.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Under33c240.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.72922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over63c225$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7513554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under38c223.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.649352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under58c216.41$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.893243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under37c215.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under35c206.83$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under38c205.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Over45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over41c199.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.015056%28 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under43c193.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5777236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under36c176.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1139752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under35c170$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked Over65c165.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.783650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.928654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c150.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.421,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over63c149.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3711555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over63c142.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…9691backed Under36c139.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under37c137.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over49c136.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over56c133$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4810229.4%30 W · 72 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over50c119.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9541160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over75c119.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…40c8backed Over54c110.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Under35c109.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.39850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e64…6e0bbacked Under35c109.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over44c107.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.351546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa722…8731backed Over65c105.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under49c103.58$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.835747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909445.7%43 W · 51 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over64c91.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over70c85.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbeb…1b63backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over57c82.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.625145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over68c78.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under57c77.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.583467.6%23 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.