Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ef6e51836d313657a6d1656e7b64caefab9d14c9d3c723deb8d691d2424248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3759…6127backed Over | 69c | 13,082$9,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 12,188$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.27 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,235$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 24c | 1,152$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 10c | 756.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 70c | 694.41$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 75c | 680$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 672.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 25c | 573.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 442.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 247.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Under | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…086dbacked Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 146.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 78c | 121.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 16c | 119.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…acc5backed Over | 77c | 119.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3c48backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 69c | 73.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 24c | 52.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…c846backed Under | 30c | 49.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 75c | 49.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 34.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…678cbacked Over | 76c | 24.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…fd38backed Over | 76c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…fa95backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.