TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under60c111,613$66,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,645.2116040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over40c49,677$19,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,870.643369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over42c21,784$9,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,149.119746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under58c19,905$11,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,360.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c7,125$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.484,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under58c5,835$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.642171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c4,142$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.692,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c3,836$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.311,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under70c3,351$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.946066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over40c3,211$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c3,000$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9711828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c2,663$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.377342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over40c2,269$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.9840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under63c2,227$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c2,132$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over25c2,100$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5255527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over42c1,818$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.428345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over40c1,656$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4610765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c1,373$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.726445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under40c1,272$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.331471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over40c1,160$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over40c1,160$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4930057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over40c1,071$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over40c1,049$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7323556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over40c1,049$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7311555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over40c1,018$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under59c961.24$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.116857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under67c913.72$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over40c772.12$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.439352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c709.02$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c629.77$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4156051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65d…616dbacked Under58c588.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over43c553.88$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1719244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over59c529.52$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.383237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.492373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over42c457.14$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.077931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Under61c448.94$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over40c420$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over40c420$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16818156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over42c385.9$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.082850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c370.83$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.941,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over40c370$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14816858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over31c311.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2310330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over21c281.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.161,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…f67abacked Under59c258.41$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c244.87$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8581053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under60c226.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over58c199.73$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under60c194.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.473467.6%23 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6820425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under72c182.86$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c181.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over42c171.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.877233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c68…0888backed Under72c150.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.06887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over36c148.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3514252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over40c144.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8412050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c141.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.451,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over40c134.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.629154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over40c125.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over40c124.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9211842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over59c121.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9432049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.216544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under60c117.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Over42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.298037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over21c108.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over30c108.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5740942.1%172 W · 237 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over47c99.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.169345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.094252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked Over41c94.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over40c93.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.234856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f09…9d7fbacked Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under77c89.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.626253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over35c88.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1319356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6520336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.