Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4f050f84175ecb517232f67c5b5e5db56cd6d484854172ae7656f320fa5a14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 3c | 3,749$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 2,271$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.42 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 1,708$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.14 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Under | 78c | 885.59$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 12c | 873.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 69c | 761.23$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 370.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 27c | 363.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 78c | 296.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 15c | 181.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Under | 72c | 137.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 136.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 22c | 136.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 17c | 118.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 538 | 28.3%152 W · 386 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Under | 69c | 68.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Under | 78c | 47.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Under | 72c | 45.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Under | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Under | 69c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 78c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Under | 75c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.