TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58c8…b1a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$28.19
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.4
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
BMW Open, Qualification: Max Hans Rehberg vs Arthur Ferybacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.05
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Pavel Kotovbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$7.73
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$79.78
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.6
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+417.8%+$51.75
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Spread: Raptors (-20.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.17
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47%+$28.59
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-78.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$17.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Counter-Strike: Alzon vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.63
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+769.7%+$156.28
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$26.72
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$9.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.83
Will FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.52
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.84
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$41.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.71
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$31.22
Will Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$56.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$17.88
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.