TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No36c11,767$4,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.481,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes69c9,993$6,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes28c8,552$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,157.583246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c7,347$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.1271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c4,289$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.5248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No72c3,818$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes34c3,367$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.6933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes63c3,270$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x267a…79ebbacked No72c2,629$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No72c2,372$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes62c2,218$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c2,012$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.4711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes29c1,987$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No54c1,961$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes46c1,930$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes66c1,800$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.4742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes72c1,789$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c1,660$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.051250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes65c1,492$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No44c1,145$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.456943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c1,125$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2918155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes39c1,053$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+139.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes77c798.96$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No42c764.33$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1997…c150backed Yes72c721$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c666.84$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c660.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.87343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Yes71c602.4$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36030448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c471.43$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No52c393.53$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5913246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc196…77b6backed Yes51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.51450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c369.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7918847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c353.54$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.411,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No71c344.16$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c328.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No28c315.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.497149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes29c297.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.963256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c296.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c281.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9123342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c242.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed No72c230.71$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c199.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes29c198.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.641250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+65.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c197.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c180.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes29c174.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes29c168.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.361838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No13c158.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c140.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.18143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No71c139.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc62…c38cbacked Yes79c137.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes40c107.89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.325356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.322729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes56c98.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.181471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c97.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9417817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c95.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes30c91.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked No68c86.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No71c85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.354050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No67c81.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5213144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd945…fbd1backed Yes52c74.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes29c72.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.576648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebd…7ffebacked Yes71c63.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes31c61.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.671747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c59.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.199346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes26c52.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+169.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes29c47.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.995933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No24c47.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.457060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7794…4e43backed Yes31c47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No29c44.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13205%1 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-84.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No33c43.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c41.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8722854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a6…4ac1backed No29c41.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc856…f642backed No49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa781…1305backed Yes78c39.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…f1e1backed Yes68c39.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No42c38.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed Yes30c38.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c36.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…b1a2backed Yes69c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No71c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed No72c29.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No71c25.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes66c24.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Yes74c21.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes72c20.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.742646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No72c19.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…e95fbacked Yes57c18.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c15.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.