TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb602…1991

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$114.11
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.87
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$147.38
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.78
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.79
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$30.17
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.44
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$19.35
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.98
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.2
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.02
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.34
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.04
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$558.4
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.77
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.26
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.72
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.19
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$43.57
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.33
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+300.7%+$244.56
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.62
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.27
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$247.09
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.35
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$72.71
Flyers vs. Jetsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$185.4
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.6
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$63.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-80.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Itobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.91
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.26
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.66
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.79
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.95
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.3
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.57
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.46
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Miyazaki: Carl Overbeck vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$43.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.75
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$419.91
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$155.21
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.82
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.