NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8a8bae8f5b477e1749a50706226585fa3d8fabba61158afd5cbac14547d355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 59c | 57,687$34,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,526.94 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 45c | 23,552$10,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,675.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 51c | 10,420$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wizards | 49c | 10,098$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.11 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 9,934$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.53 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 44c | 8,925$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 49c | 6,059$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.85 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Wizards | 49c | 6,023$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Wizards | 23c | 5,130$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.25 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards | 48c | 5,112$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.52 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Wizards | 50c | 5,037$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.42 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,607$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.58 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 25c | 4,021$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.22 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 20c | 3,835$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 49c | 3,623$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Wizards | 49c | 3,486$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.08 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,266$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.9 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Wizards | 34c | 3,223$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.72 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,067$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.88 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,774$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.37 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Wizards | 49c | 2,381$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.17 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Wizards | 49c | 2,376$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.04 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Wizards | 49c | 2,327$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.01 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.05 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,027$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.13 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Wizards | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,818$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.64 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,598$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,523$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.03 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 1,500$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Wizards | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.72 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…f29dbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,381$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Wizards | 50c | 1,368$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.85 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 62c | 1,246$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.52 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Wizards | 49c | 1,126$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Wizards | 49c | 1,068$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,032$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.68 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,013$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.55 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Wizards | 49c | 1,013$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.01 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,001$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.61 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,001$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.61 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed Wizards | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 8c | 987.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Wizards | 49c | 980$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Wizards | 48c | 879.38$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Wizards | 36c | 781.15$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Wizards | 48c | 773.83$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 49c | 767.38$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Cavaliers | 51c | 682.8$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.62 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…cf00backed Wizards | 48c | 682.65$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 52c | 675.68$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.38 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Cavaliers | 51c | 666.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wizards | 47c | 596.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.81 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Cavaliers | 52c | 564.83$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 563.19$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Wizards | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Wizards | 7c | 488$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Wizards | 34c | 426.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 45c | 414.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 36c | 405.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.66 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Wizards | 52c | 401.46$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wizards | 48c | 399.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 373.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Wizards | 11c | 326.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Wizards | 50c | 316.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 51c | 313$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Wizards | 76c | 308.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…2d62backed Cavaliers | 49c | 305.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Wizards | 49c | 302.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…9e26backed Wizards | 52c | 302.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Wizards | 51c | 300.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Cavaliers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…e8e3backed Wizards | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e77…257abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 286.94$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Cavaliers | 30c | 284.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Wizards | 6c | 276.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Wizards | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…b295backed Wizards | 49c | 245.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards | 48c | 244.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 239.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wizards | 53c | 212.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Wizards | 49c | 208.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Wizards | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Wizards | 50c | 198.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Wizards | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Wizards | 51c | 175.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Wizards | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wizards | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Wizards | 13c | 157.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.