TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf003…08cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.86
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$476.34
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$283.46
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,351.43
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$650.6
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$340.11
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$115.68
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073.22
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$280.23
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$151.75
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.5
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.5
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.82
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$99.46
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.57
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$103.82
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.47
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.68
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$325
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$431.46
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.32
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.9
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,700
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$785
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$730
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,977.55
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$454.09
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$282
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.01
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$731
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.09
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.