Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd11939aa72bf26d0eef91ed43681bee4b8a2cf3138a81f7eaec0f1e60248b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 53c | 2,521$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 48c | 2,221$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.93 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 54c | 1,281$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 954.24$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 927.03$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.23 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked No | 53c | 714.22$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 596.03$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.02 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 365.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 362.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 59c | 361.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 352.89$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 38c | 261.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked No | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed No | 51c | 245.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 203.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…e8e8backed Yes | 45c | 169.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 157.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 148.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 133.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 125.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 55c | 94.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 67.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Yes | 49c | 64.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 48c | 60.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…8a5dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 37.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 28.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 42c | 28.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 53c | 21.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…d6c4backed No | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.