Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493d6028c9c76140eabcb19b42a3b23b507307537a6a7f5189b7eb6f2beada1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 12,907$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.07 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 68c | 10,130$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.54 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 8,723$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 7,770$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 1,780$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.43 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 1,283$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 62c | 1,059$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 65c | 974$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.26 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Under | 40c | 799.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 58c | 682.82$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.78 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 69c | 592$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 31c | 465.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 69c | 459.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 440.82$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 69c | 429.96$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Over | 68c | 402.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 32c | 214$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 22c | 205.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 36c | 199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 30c | 192.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 188$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 176.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed Under | 30c | 174.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 69c | 147.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 65c | 140.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 37c | 135.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 131.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 33c | 126.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 34c | 117.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 95.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 66.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af0…a4d3backed Over | 71c | 62.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 33c | 51.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 62c | 49.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 34c | 47.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 46.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 34c | 42.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Over | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 36c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Over | 61c | 39.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Under | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 73c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 66c | 25.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Over | 67c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 67c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 60c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.