TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a0c…10e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.02
CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$67.38
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.51
Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.3
Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.86
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30.14
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.77
CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$39.57
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.71
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.91
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$70.45
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.04
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.8%+$11.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$38.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Olympiakós SFP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.