Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ce2a0041867212b29793e6eba7f28f706df36c76912c3a67f7fc4e304b8aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 2,924$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 21c | 594.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.52 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 562.72$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.55 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 52c | 526.83$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.51 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 5c | 504.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 33c | 288.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 210.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 180.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 7c | 166.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 146.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed Yes | 33c | 107.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 88.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 39c | 58.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed No | 68c | 46.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed No | 68c | 32.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 37c | 31.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…3852backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 78c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.