Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7f3d2687b73830186c1453d710641d457a5a2fd28e595f4f41f3d349242392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 0c | 30,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,670$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 1,249$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.41 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 714.29$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.49 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 618.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 58c | 530.48$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 57c | 484.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 48c | 437.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 437.29$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 54c | 371.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 335.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 29c | 294.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 260.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 30c | 249.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 43c | 249$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 25c | 217.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 180.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 65c | 167.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 25c | 162$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…f978backed Yes | 30c | 150.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 30c | 142.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 17c | 127$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 30c | 126.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 39c | 108.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 60c | 95.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 25c | 76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 54.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 33c | 53.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…a35cbacked Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…df20backed Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 43.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 44c | 43.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 45c | 31.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 71c | 26.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…08f1backed No | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…4545backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe753…2789backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…d81fbacked No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…8bb9backed No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will CD Tondela vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.