Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0ebed1f003c3502818d112f324497da55b35aa71ea3f186b9f1a82965e1d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 4,027$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 36c | 3,903$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 1,158$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 61c | 797.85$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 73c | 747.4$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 729.7$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.21 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 71c | 715.36$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 667.95$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 569.86$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 35c | 288.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 39c | 254.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 227$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 202.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 13c | 195.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 159.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 131.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 67c | 67.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 27c | 65.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 38c | 38.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 32.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 69c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked No | 62c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.