TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf026…ca17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-29.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.65
Counter-Strike: Team Recrent vs Team Lixxx (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffsbacked Team Lixxx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25.9%+$6.96
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.6%+$11.12
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.29
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Abacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.34
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Abacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nemiga (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs WATERMELON (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4.38
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group Abacked Rising Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.6%+$16.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.