TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$662,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $662,067 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No43c201,606$87,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,299.648743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed No43c67,382$29,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,318.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c45,713$20,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,783.5396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes57c43,649$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c36,858$17,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,482.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c32,496$18,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,538.5168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes58c27,407$15,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,774.2822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes56c18,750$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No43c13,482$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,619.564351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c12,523$7,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,209.5998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes57c11,550$6,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.58941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes53c11,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes56c10,714$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c9,534$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,426.3548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No42c9,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2203237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes56c9,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.996442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes57c8,454$4,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,784.218463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes56c7,899$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.1445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd56…8f60backed Yes58c7,657$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes29c6,022$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7503815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No44c6,019$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes56c5,956$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.085424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c5,823$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.8893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes56c5,796$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.168042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Yes57c5,500$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes56c5,403$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No43c4,928$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.962339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No43c4,755$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.355052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No43c4,752$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No73c4,720$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c4,538$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.5340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes56c4,331$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes56c4,088$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.4226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes56c3,688$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes37c3,441$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.2816838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No44c3,333$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.487444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes56c3,309$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.0417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c3,147$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.5533357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No43c2,280$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.733452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes57c2,185$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.0820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No72c2,169$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.539440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No44c2,100$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.4340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes9c2,059$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No49c2,052$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.691850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c2,000$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x449d…fee5backed Yes55c1,626$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes20c1,571$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.812731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No40c1,514$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.522339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes27c1,393$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes48c1,316$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c1,294$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.077945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes56c1,112$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes55c961.38$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf14d…46c5backed Yes16c944.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c919.64$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes56c900$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c870.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.37565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes58c860$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.83167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes57c856$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.476028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No45c736.83$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.732540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c700.57$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18916032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes23c690.07$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes55c686.49$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.829046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Yes17c657.14$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3367558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2168640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c595.55$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes37c545.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c0…bfe4backed Yes60c537.35$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes57c522$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.27646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c490.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes41c479.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.83844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes56c469.99$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.192725.9%7 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Yes55c458.18$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes3c454.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked No44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.559154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c440.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.257220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c426.58$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0c…3e1fbacked Yes60c426.25$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes16c423.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.671637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes58c410$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed No44c409.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.794254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2a…984dbacked Yes56c405$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes10c403.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.