TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90a1…73d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.98
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174.93
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$761.81
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,700
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12,199.97
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,769.84
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,799.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.8%+$4,570.38
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,528Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$3,704.45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$4,091.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,628Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+106.6%+$11,325.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$35.32
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,081Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+172.7%+$19,135.19
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,044.98
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,811Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5,203.9
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,805
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+65.9%+$7,788.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$657.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.1%+$6,000.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$189
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,350
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$675
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,676.98
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$720
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,800
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$5,320
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,819.7
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,950.1
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,200
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+98.2%+$2,230
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,856Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,904
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+95.6%+$5,889.06
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,091Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,622.83
1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,754Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.8%+$2,445.81
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$9,640.36
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,607.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17,200
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20,000
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22,259.62
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,069Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+138.8%+$20,916.82
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11,766.16
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$7,350
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$6,026.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,680
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,050
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$981.2
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,066
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19,600
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,515.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19,727.6
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19,999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+84.1%+$16,820.35
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19,392.79
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13,281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10,019
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,511Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+178.6%+$13,411.53
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14,700
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$6,032
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51%+$3,191.94
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$2,785.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,550
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$509.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+133.1%+$2,854.77
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,319.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,450.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12,852.6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42,000
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,764Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$5,320.94
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$578.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+97.2%+$2,631.77
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,919.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$999
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$8,787.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,164.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,900
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.