CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c997e9170e03fc54a396843b0c2859671c9caabed16fc0ba217a07b80e979ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,132 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked TheMongolz | 50c | 49,779$24,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,889.4 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 40,105$19,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,651.39 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 35,020$17,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,509.32 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 61c | 31,499$19,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,320.25 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed TheMongolz | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 53c | 10,106$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.52 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 54c | 10,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.15 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 9,068$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.54 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 8,572$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.99 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 7,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 6,290$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.12 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 5,783$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 5,600$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…c4b9backed TheMongolz | 51c | 5,473$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 5,450$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.52 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 5,262$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed TheMongolz | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 66c | 4,960$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz | 51c | 4,808$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.61 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz | 51c | 4,799$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.81 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,477$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,253$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.04 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 4,050$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.27 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.27 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 3,660$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.5 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,422$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.91 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 3,341$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.01 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…e926backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 3,235$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 3,220$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.52 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.7 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.77 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,549$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.94 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 63c | 2,545$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed TheMongolz | 75c | 2,201$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.27 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,036$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.79 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked TheMongolz | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…0d53backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,993$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 73c | 1,983$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,976$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,891$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 76c | 1,768$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.11 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed TheMongolz | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 1,640$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.65 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,558$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,400$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.47 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed TheMongolz | 48c | 1,308$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.78 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,094$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…3f69backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,071$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz | 51c | 985$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.71 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 951.85$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.79 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 949.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 938.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed TheMongolz | 53c | 937.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.02 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed TheMongolz | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 893$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 882.6$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.12 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 804.04$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.73 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 800.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 800$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.43 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.3 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 793.57$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.91 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 792.16$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 788.77$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 719.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 651.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed TheMongolz | 77c | 650.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 649.79$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed TheMongolz | 71c | 649$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 644.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 640.26$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed TheMongolz | 51c | 624.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked TheMongolz | 74c | 623.27$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…d41abacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 607.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed TheMongolz | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 599$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 566.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 519.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz | 74c | 504.34$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed TheMongolz | 65c | 503.54$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed TheMongolz | 51c | 500.1$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed TheMongolz | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 472.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.