CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd69e3543c01e5a3844ce5d0a60dd24364379c570875781052ff4ae83261ec8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,163 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 30,058$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931.42 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 20,971$8,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,206.7 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 14,844$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.8 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 67c | 13,503$9,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 66c | 10,186$6,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.56 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 59c | 8,886$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.11 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 6,327$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.51 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed TheMongolz | 67c | 6,096$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.24 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed TheMongolz | 60c | 5,800$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 5,758$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed TheMongolz | 58c | 4,556$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.47 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 4,366$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.12 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…b8bbbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 65c | 3,246$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.72 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed TheMongolz | 63c | 3,061$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.88 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 2,761$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 2,741$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 61c | 2,434$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.77 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 2,343$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked TheMongolz | 61c | 2,126$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 2,070$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.82 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.76 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz | 63c | 2,035$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.83 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked TheMongolz | 56c | 1,715$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.45 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 57c | 1,614$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.85 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,600$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.82 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,540$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.33 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 63c | 1,414$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.41 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed TheMongolz | 63c | 1,251$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.74 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,247$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.73 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,207$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.56 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,199$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,182$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.22 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,150$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked TheMongolz | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed TheMongolz | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 835$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 799$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.13 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 713.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 666.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 644.39$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked TheMongolz | 76c | 604.53$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed TheMongolz | 69c | 570$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…d0eabacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 567.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 550.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 535$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.35 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b2…ca4fbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 508.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 56c | 506.35$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed TheMongolz | 59c | 501.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a877backed TheMongolz | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.29 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…750ebacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 431.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed TheMongolz | 54c | 369.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 365$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked TheMongolz | 60c | 350$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 259 | 50.6%131 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed TheMongolz | 59c | 336.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked TheMongolz | 68c | 325.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 303.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed TheMongolz | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 300$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 270.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 269.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 256 | 45.7%117 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 267.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 264$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 262.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 261.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 45.1%160 W · 195 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed TheMongolz | 52c | 230.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed TheMongolz | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed TheMongolz | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked TheMongolz | 58c | 200.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed TheMongolz | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 196.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 185.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 176.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz | 68c | 168.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19d…e4b0backed TheMongolz | 54c | 165.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed TheMongolz | 63c | 158.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed TheMongolz | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed TheMongolz | 61c | 153.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz | 65c | 153$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 145.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 139.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.