TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5f7…7714

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT19048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$16.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$276.78
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$30.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,843.47
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,049.49
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.8%+$107.91
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$151.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$261.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.