CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12a2c73a6ebd94931cdcb1ae82fd378458bca06474796d76df6e251f3e4bef95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked Lavked | 41c | 2,072$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.7 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked fnatic | 59c | 1,245$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked fnatic | 72c | 300$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked fnatic | 53c | 296.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lavked | 41c | 283.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 63c | 274.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed fnatic | 57c | 261.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed fnatic | 62c | 221.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked fnatic | 58c | 207.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Lavked | 39c | 205.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lavked | 49c | 203.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 30c | 182.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 69c | 154.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…eb36backed fnatic | 65c | 153.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked fnatic | 56c | 149$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 50c | 144.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Lavked | 48c | 140.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed fnatic | 73c | 134.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic | 50c | 119$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 44c | 115.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked fnatic | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed fnatic | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed fnatic | 61c | 89.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 46c | 87.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 32c | 87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lavked | 29c | 63.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked fnatic | 63c | 63.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Lavked | 29c | 58.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lavked | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked fnatic | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed fnatic | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed fnatic | 72c | 35.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 37c | 32.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed fnatic | 60c | 21.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.