TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof Lavked, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x629d…756cbacked fnatic29c2,568$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.962,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic59c2,472$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked fnatic35c2,125$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Lavked75c1,932$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2113760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Lavked56c1,701$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked67c1,115$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.392,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked62c1,098$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.966,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked fnatic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Lavked37c999.98$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.3624942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic31c949$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.453,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8808…164fbacked fnatic58c843.95$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic42c783$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.325,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked fnatic65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked fnatic31c724.73$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lavked64c709.76$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.92,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked fnatic21c619.84$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9316920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lavked41c578.68$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.355843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Lavked40c542$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.28445.2%38 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked69c526.51$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.671,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Lavked69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Lavked41c499.67$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7618543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked64c495.85$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.052,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked fnatic62c486.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0316355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed fnatic22c471.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5148635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked41c459.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.255,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked41c437$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.835,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Lavked40c434.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3316945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Lavked39c409.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.773053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed fnatic61c373.77$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22841847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Lavked45c355.87$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7348845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lavked64c355.5$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.413,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed fnatic60c348.29$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.732,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed fnatic21c319.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.044,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dca…8172backed Lavked75c283$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Lavked71c282.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9731451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3329…6c52backed Lavked78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…625ebacked Lavked69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed fnatic60c242.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7718846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed fnatic28c240.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3880942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Lavked57c228.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.631,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked fnatic48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic59c199.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.182,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lavked61c190.7$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.932,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lavked42c183.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.21,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked60c180.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.94,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked40c179.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.992,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked fnatic64c175$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11245450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Lavked67c170$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.164058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked fnatic60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lavked63c165.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.824,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed fnatic28c161.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.234052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked fnatic63c153.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.949445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic36c147.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed fnatic28c138.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8922253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked fnatic20c134.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1448319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed fnatic8c130.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked45c128.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked fnatic44c125.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Lavked40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Lavked40c124.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9923335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Lavked37c122.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.021,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed fnatic31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118450%92 W · 92 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d43…43a7backed Lavked36c97.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.782450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic51c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Lavked76c88.28$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1913351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Lavked67c88.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.065955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed fnatic34c81.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5211…67c9backed Lavked63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed fnatic40c76.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.711,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic40c70.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.337,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked75c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed fnatic61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed fnatic30c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed fnatic63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked fnatic63c62.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed fnatic60c59.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked fnatic36c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7640652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic32c56.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.742,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed fnatic46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.281,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Lavked76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Lavked54c51.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6820646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed fnatic64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Lavked40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked fnatic64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Lavked77c49.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.592729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked fnatic67c47.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed fnatic33c44.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.653135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed fnatic60c43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Lavked37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.485851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Lavked41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.655749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd652…6354backed fnatic38c34.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9913757.7%79 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked fnatic57c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked fnatic32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102536%9 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed Lavked39c31.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0527848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f1…1972backed Lavked41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Lavked42c26.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.262360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked fnatic60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8826…a723backed Lavked43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.