TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfcdd…0ecd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
472
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT32956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 329 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$10.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+59%+$14.76
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Esport BERG (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.07
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Showing 25 of 329 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11361.1%69 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59%+$161.05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$76.84
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$113.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$81.62
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.92
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$82.18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$79.08
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.79
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.59
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.94
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$12.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.