La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ebd0580de66c586524b1171c971cbc2459f09a7fd22e8885be2f206a1896aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,492,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,841,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,492,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 972 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 385,444$179,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,681.61 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 53c | 137,874$72,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,470.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 53c | 109,000$57,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,769.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 60,495$26,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,046.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 52c | 56,961$29,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,848.15 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 65c | 53,033$34,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,376.52 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 52,747$27,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,533.89 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 50,353$27,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,725 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 54c | 42,944$23,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,219.42 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 47c | 28,420$13,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,039.4 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 23,880$12,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,711.93 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 53c | 21,676$11,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,488.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 21,500$11,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,394.88 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 47c | 20,515$9,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,873.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Yes | 47c | 17,813$8,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 53c | 17,440$9,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,243.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 16,904$9,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,128.34 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 15,218$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,279.64 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 53c | 13,080$6,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.79 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Yes | 45c | 10,670$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8038backed Yes | 48c | 10,444$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 53c | 10,250$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Yes | 47c | 9,956$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 54c | 9,810$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.4 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 54c | 8,854$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 30c | 8,388$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 53c | 8,265$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 79c | 7,841$6,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 7,748$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.94 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 53c | 7,683$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.89 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 54c | 7,300$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.53 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed No | 55c | 7,260$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 6,979$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.34 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 46c | 6,801$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 55c | 6,431$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.11 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 54c | 6,281$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.66 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 55c | 6,102$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Yes | 47c | 6,085$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 47c | 6,085$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 54c | 6,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 55c | 5,916$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 55c | 5,800$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 47c | 5,460$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.57 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 55c | 5,448$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.7 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 13c | 5,420$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 79c | 5,402$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.58 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 70c | 5,143$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked No | 56c | 4,964$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 54c | 4,851$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.51 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 4,682$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.26 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 55c | 4,572$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.56 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 45c | 4,460$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 69c | 4,448$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.38 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 4,417$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.88 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 61c | 4,383$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.93 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 45c | 4,284$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…88aebacked Yes | 46c | 4,267$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 4,207$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.9 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 54c | 4,021$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.52 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 56c | 3,785$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.93 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 54c | 3,761$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 54c | 3,702$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 49c | 3,585$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,496$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.64 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,423$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 55c | 3,255$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 66c | 3,253$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.79 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 3,239$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.84 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 47c | 3,090$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.7 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 45c | 3,056$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.56 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.92 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Yes | 49c | 2,998$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 2,887$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.67 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 2,826$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.5 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…d3b7backed Yes | 70c | 2,822$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 54c | 2,700$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 73c | 2,637$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.34 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 55c | 2,609$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.23 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 2,479$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.61 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 55c | 2,403$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.79 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 44c | 2,362$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.6 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…8627backed No | 55c | 2,295$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.