TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No76c9,957$7,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.2357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Yes20c5,512$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No79c3,556$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.028170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c3,473$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes25c1,527$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.331,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Yes17c1,347$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c990.08$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.327337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes20c979.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.993638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No73c975.22$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.313450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No80c967.27$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7710556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7405…478cbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes18c559.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6311336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c536.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c532.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.861,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes26c464.18$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes27c463.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.256839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes19c376.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No80c370.45$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.789931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c363.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0119840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6833…2011backed Yes27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c296.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes27c287.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c278$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.13,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…34aabacked Yes26c276.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes18c271.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.842330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Yes20c236$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d0…d9b0backed Yes22c230.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Yes26c210$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes24c197.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Yes28c196.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e57…a79abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes26c160.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked No74c148.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.656100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c130.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c126.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.442,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No73c122.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c119.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3926853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2b3…c36cbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes25c99.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No73c95.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7122246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c91.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56b1…9121backed Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed No73c78.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.271080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a2…875ebacked No73c74.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…a53ebacked Yes27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes26c67.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d3…3db7backed Yes27c66.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes22c64.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ca…c73fbacked Yes20c61.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6e…01ecbacked Yes17c61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x022e…e2c2backed No73c59.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed No74c57.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c57.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c56.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9133734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e07…bb75backed Yes21c56.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes27c54.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7717159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes27c54.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.683129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27a8…1799backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c53.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8724145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c51.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e20…a578backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6515540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc865…2c40backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c47.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c45.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed No74c39.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.194676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0433544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.