TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes25c29,001$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.131,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No75c26,674$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,673.732075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No72c13,948$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,947.514845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Yes20c7,287$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes16c6,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes4c6,004$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.84,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c5,567$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…5e86backed Yes30c4,237$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c4,168$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.913,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes29c4,129$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.657337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c4,068$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.161,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No73c3,844$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.895442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes6c3,734$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.11,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4a…f216backed No71c2,662$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes27c2,389$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.918246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c2,162$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4619840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No70c2,120$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8210168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes26c2,050$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0614146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes29c1,953$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No74c1,875$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.578170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes4c1,830$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5533544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked No74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.352080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes6c1,276$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes26c1,260$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes26c1,169$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes22c1,032$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes11c991.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes28c942.86$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes27c833.74$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c806.46$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8122448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51e…08b2backed Yes30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes13c736.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3812823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdd…aa2dbacked Yes3c733.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6715…5085backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aaf…e0a8backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes9c685.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+222%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe73b…8f0abacked Yes31c632.57$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes10c599.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7557139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c569.25$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.452,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes29c508.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes28c501.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No71c501.17$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1821354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de1…4fc6backed Yes27c499.22$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac9…81a7backed Yes20c483.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.521050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No74c460$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes3c447$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4122446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No72c429.79$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0211336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…9bb7backed Yes27c374.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes28c358$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.245154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes20c357.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed No74c349.59$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.896048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes27c342.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.477346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed No73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e98…9603backed Yes5c336.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c333.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.433734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Yes30c321.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes29c290$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.114540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No70c286.22$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1517159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes16c240.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.545152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c236.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…c29bbacked Yes29c203.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Yes27c199.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes21c176.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.519721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c174.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes15c172.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes29c156.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3448153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No73c146.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.018268.3%56 W · 26 L+14.7wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes9c143.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8770%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8513668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes11c120.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.289441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c119.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes28c117.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4923455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f21…33f5backed Yes11c113$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c109$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes26c106.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8845450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes27c105.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.123129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c101.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.